In Europe and other affluent countries people tend to have fewer children than those they would like to have by the end of the reproductive period. In previous research on this topic the correspondence between childbearing plans and outcomes had generally been investigated in isolation from choices and events in other life course domains. This project tackles this central issue in an innovative way and acknowledges the gap between intended and realised fertility in the unified framework of a cross-domain life course approach. Using cross-country comparative and longitudinal data, the project investigates the transition path from birth intention to birth outcome at the intersection of life course domains intimately related to the family formation process, such as education, partnership, work, and residence. Life courses are considered in their structural and institutional context. The project aims to disentangle the correlation structure across individuals’ simultaneous life goals (or intentions) and individuals’ subsequent behaviours (or outcomes). Methodologically, the novelty of the project lies in its use of recent cross-country comparative and longitudinal data; and, theoretically, in its specification of competing goals and the opportunities for goal achievement in different social contexts. The project will address the following research questions:
The project will use latent class analysis and simultaneous hazard modelling of the various life course intentions and behavioural outcomes to see whether parallel life domains are independent or how they hang together. BIRTHLIFE project will offer new perspectives for understanding reproductive decision-making, actual fertility and goal achievement in other life course domains. This knowledge will help policy-makers design measures aimed at facilitating work-family reconciliation and the achievement of other goals in life that will help generate and maintain individuals’ well-being.
Buh, Brian. (2021). Measuring the Effect of Employment uncertainty on Fertility in Europe (A literature review). (Working Paper No. 03/2021). Vienna Institute of Demography Working Papers. https://doi.org/10.1553/0x003cfe1f
Testa, Maria Rita., & Bolano, Danilo. (2021). When partners’ disagreement prevents childbearing: A couple-level analysis in Australia. Demographic Research, 44(33), 811–838.
Barker, Ross. (2022). Mum’s the word… using web scraping and text analysis to better understand women’s expressions and experiences of motherhood. Paper presented as poster at the 13th Conference of Young Demographers.
Buh, Brian. (2022). The Cost of Childcare and Housing on Completed Fertility in the United Kingdom. Paper presented as poster at the 13th Conference of Young Demographers.
Barker, Ross., & Buber-Ennser, Isabella (2021). An exploration of uncertainty and flexibility in fertility intentions. Paper presented at the 6th GGP User Conference, online. https://www.ggp-i.org/6th-ggp-user-conference/
Buh, Brian (2021) Job instability and perceptions of employment uncertainty’s effect on fertility outcomes. Paper presented at the Understanding Society Scientific Conference 2021, online. https://www.understandingsocietyconference.co.uk/events/2021/01/29/changing-families-insecure-work-and-family-relationships/