PEER-REVIEWED

in preparation

Bailey, R.L, et al. GICs, 2021

Reiss, M. A., C. Möstl, R.L. Bailey, Amerstorfer, U.V., A.J. Weiss, M.A. Reiss, T. Amerstorfer, J. Hinterreiter, M. Bauer, Predicting the magnetic flux rope fields at the Sun-Earth L1 point, Space Weather, in prep., 2021.

submitted / in revision / revised

Bailey, R. L., Reiss, M. A., Arge, C. N., Möstl, C., Owens, M. J., Amerstorfer, U. V., Henney, C. J., Amerstorfer, T., Weiss, A. J., & Hinterreiter, J., Improving ambient solar wind model predictions with machine learning, Space Weather, revised, 2021.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2006.12835

Reiss, M.A., K. Muglach, C. Möstl, C. Arge, R. L. Bailey, et al., The Observational Uncertainty of Coronal Hole Boundaries in Automated Detection Schemes, ApJ Letters, submitted, 2021.

published / in press

Allen, R. C., G. C. Ho, G. M. Mason, L. K. Jian, S. K. Vines, S. D. Bale, A. W. Case, M. E. Hill, C. J. Joyce, J. C. Kasper, K. E. Korreck, D. M. Malaspina, D. J. McComas, R. McNutt, C. Möstl, D. Odstrcil, N. Raouafi, and M. L. Stevens, SIR/CIRs in the Parker Solar Probe Era, Astronomy & Astrophysics, in press, 2021.

Bailey, R. L., Möstl, C., Reiss, M.  A., Weiss, A. J., Amerstorfer, U. V., Amerstorfer, T., et al., Prediction of Dst during solar minimum using In situ measurements at L5, Space Weather, 18, e2019SW002424, 2020.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019SW002424 
(open access) https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.00249

Reiss, M. A., MacNeice, P. J., Muglach, K., Arge, C. N., Möstl, C., Riley, P., Hinterreiter, J., Bailey, R. L., Weiss, A. J., Owens, M. J., Amerstorfer, T., & Amerstorfer, U., Forecasting the Ambient Solar Wind with Numerical Models. II. An Adaptive Prediction System for Specifying Solar Wind Speed near the Sun, The Astrophysical Journal, 891, 2, 165, 2020.
https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ab78a0/     
https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.00249


Talks at international conferences

Martin Reiss, Peter J MacNeice, Karin Muglach,, Charles Nickolos Arge, Christian Möstl, Pete Riley, Rachel Bailey, Jürgen Hinterreiter, Andreas Weiss, Mathew James Owens, Carl J Henney, Ute Amerstorfer and Tanja Amerstorfer, An Adaptive Prediction System for Specifying Solar Wind Conditions Near the Sun, AGU fall meeting (virtual), San Francisco, poster, Dec 2020.

Martin A. Reiss: Ensemble modeling techniques in ambient solar wind modeling, iSWAT meeting, Feb 2020, Cape Canaveral, USA.

Eastwood, J.P., C.M. Carr, C. Palla, W. Magnes, G. Berghofer, A. Valavanoglou, R. Nakamura, C. Möstl: Magnetic field measurements at L5 and development of the Lagrange magnetometer, Transitioning Research and Instrument Expertise in Heliophysics into Space Weather Monitoring Capabilities at L1 and L5, London, Jun 2019.
 

Posters at international conferences

Maria Kuznetsova, Anna Belehaki, Mario Mark Bisi, Sean Bruinsma, Shing F Fung, Alexi Glover, Manuel Grande, Jingnan Guo, Insoo Jun, Jon Linker, Ian Robert Mann, Arnaud Masson, Anne Michelle M Mendoza, Sophie A. Murray, Dibyendu Nandy, Hermann J Opgenoorth, Alexei A Pevtsov, Christina Plainaki, Martin Reiss, Eric K Sutton, Manuela Temmer, Ilya G Usoskin, Zhonghua Yao, Stephanie Yardley, Yihua Zheng and Nandi, Dibyendu, COSPAR International Space Weather Action Teams: Addressing Challenges Across the Field of Space Weather, AGU fall meeting (virtual), poster, Dec 2020.

Rachel Bailey, Roman Leonhardt, Christian Möstl, Martin Reiss, Andreas Weiss, Dennis Albert, Philipp Schachinger and Georg Achleitner, Predicting GICs from L solar wind data using geophysical methods in combination with machine learning, AGU fall meeting (virtual), poster, Dec 2020.

Rachel Bailey, Martin Reiss, Christian Möstl, Ute Amerstorfer, Cyril Simon Wedlund, Tanja Amerstorfer, Andreas Weiss, Jürgen Hinterreiter, Jingnan Guo, Johan von Forstner, David Barnes, Jackie Davies, and Richard Harrison, A comprehensive catalogue of solar wind properties and events in the inner heliosphere, European Planetary Science Congress, Sep 2020.

Alexander Lavrukhin, David Parunakian, Dmitry Nevskiy, Ute Amerstorfer, Andreas Windisch, Sahib Julka, Christian Möstl, Martin Reiss, and
Rachel Bailey, Automatic detection of magnetopause and bow shock crossing signatures in MESSENGER magnetometer data, European Planetary Science Congress, Sep 2020.

Hannah Rüdisser, Andreas Windisch, Ute V. Amerstorfer, Tanja Amerstorfer, Christian Möstl, Rachel L. Bailey, Automatic Detection and Classification of ICMEs in Solar Wind Data, poster, European Space Weather Symposium (virtual), Belgium, poster, Nov 2020.

Martin Reiss, Manuela Temmer, Karin Muglach, Maria Kuznetsova, Peter MacNeice, Richard Mullinix, Rui Pinto, Charles N. Arge, Sergio Dasso, Chiu Wiegand, Lan Jian, Christian Möstl, Evangelia Samara, Camilla Scolini, Barbara Perri, Mathew Owens, Pete Riley, and Rachel Bailey, The COSPAR ISWAT initiative for  open validation analysis of ambient solar wind models, poster, European Space Weather Symposium (virtual), Belgium, poster, Nov 2020.

Rachel Bailey, Roman Leonhardt, and Christian Möstl, Forecasting local GICs from solar wind data using a combination of geophysical and machine learning methods, poster, European Space Weather Symposium (virtual), Belgium, poster, Nov 2020.

Reiss, M., Bailey, R., Arge, N., Möstl, C., Owens, M., & Henney, C., Improving Ambient Solar Wind Model Predictions for Earth Using Machine Learning, AAS/Solar Physics Division Meeting (virtual), poster, Aug 2020.

Möstl, C., Bailey, R. L., Amerstorfer, U. V., Amerstorfer, T., Weiss, A. J., Reiss, M. A., Hinterreiter, J., & Bauer, M., HelioCast - a  real time test environment to enhance space weather prediction at Earth, EGU General Assembly (virtual), Vienna, Apr 2020.

Reiss, M., MacNeice, P., Muglach, K., Arge, N., Möstl, C., Riley, P., Hinterreiter, J., Bailey, R., Weiss, A., Owens, M., Amerstorfer, T., & Amerstorfer, U., An Adaptive Prediction System for Specifying Solar Wind Conditions Near the Sun, EGU General Assembly (virtual), Vienna, Apr 2020.

Bailey, R., Möstl, C., Reiss, M., Weiss, A., Amerstorfer, U., Amerstorfer, T., Hinterreiter, J., & Bauer, M., Forecasting the Dst index from L5 in-situ data using PREDSTORM: accuracy and applicability, EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Apr 2020.

Amerstorfer, U., Möstl, C., Bailey, R., Weiss, A., Reiss, M., Amerstorfer, T., Hinterreiter, J., & Bauer, M., Predicting the magnetic flux rope fields at the Sun-Earth L point, EGU General Assembly (virtual), Vienna, Apr 2020.

Reiss, M., P.J. MacNeice, K. Muglach, M.S. Kirk, C.N. Arge, C. Möstl: Assessing the uncertainty of coronal hole boundary locations, AGU Fall Meeting 2019, San Francisco, Dec 2019.

Möstl, C., U.V. Amerstorfer, R.L. Bailey, A.J. Weiss, T. Amerstorfer, J. Hinterreiter, M.A. Reiss: PREDSTORM - a new L1 solar wind and magnetic storm prediction system, Machine Learning in Heliophysics 2019, Amsterdam, Sep 2019.

Bailey, R.L., C. Möstl, U.V. Amerstorfer, T. Amerstorfer, A.J. Weiss, J. Hinterreiter, M.A. Reiss, D. Albert: PREDSTORM and SOLARWIND2GIC: Forecasting of space weather effects and geomagnetically induced currents with Python, Machine Learning in Heliophysics 2019, Amsterdam, Sep 2019.

Amerstorfer, U.V., C. Möstl, R.L. Bailey, A.J. Weiss, T. Amerstorfer, J. Hinterreiter, M.A. Reiss, M. Bauer: Forecasting of magnetic flux rope fields at the Sun- Earth L1 point, Machine Learning in Heliophysics 2019, Amsterdam, Sep 2019.

Amerstorfer, U.V., C. Möstl, R.L. Bailey, A. J. Weiss, T. Amerstorfer, J. Hinterreiter: PREDSTORM - an empirical magnetic storm forecast pipeline, Towards Future Research on Space Weather Drivers, San Juan, Jul 2019.

Bailey, R.L., C. Möstl, U.V. Amerstorfer, T. Amerstorfer, A.J. Weiss, R. Leonhardt: Predicting GICs from L1 solar wind data using recurrent neural networks, EGU General Assembly 2019, Wien, Apr 2019.

Talks at project meetings

Magnes, W., G. Berghofer, C. Möstl, R. Bailey, C. Carr, J. Eastwood, C. Palla, T. Horbury: Lagrange ISRR Kick-Off MAG Presentation, LAGRANGE Mission Intermediate System Requirements Review (ISRR), Noordwijk, Jul 2019.

Session convening

Martin Reiss: Coronal Hole Boundary Working Team Session, COSPAR ISWAT Inaugural Working Meeting, Cape Canaveral, Feb 2020.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1lNcB7qfBnVq30hE0-BhlkRNMwdIKmcST6Fk96hv13PE/edit?usp=sharing

Martin Reiss, Manuela Temmer: Ambient Solar Wind Validation Team Session, COSPAR ISWAT Inaugural Working Meeting, Cape Canaveral, Feb 2020.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1VHZt3OEe17zxb8pAcRKWQNDeecbYNGO-bY6r-KQ4tZ0/edit

Martin Reiss, Christina Kay, Manuela Temmer: CME propagation through evolving ambient solar wind, COSPAR ISWAT Working Meeting, Cape Canaveral, Feb 2020.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1-sOw9uEFjbBsbLURQhbl_RMMQ2bpUPOnKztzrBA8GTA/edit

Open source materials and codes

Code for the results and figures presented in Bailey et al. 2020:
https://github.com/helioforecast/Papers/tree/master/Bailey2020_L5DstPrediction

PREDSTORM prediction technique for the solar wind with data from STEREO-A, L1 or a future possible L5 mission:
https://github.com/helioforecast/Predstorm

Aurora model OVATION Prime 2010 as open source (update to 2013 version under development):
https://github.com/helioforecast/auroramaps

SIR catalog: https://helioforecast.space/sircat
https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Helio4Cast_SIRCAT_1_0/12416906

Aurora prediction: https://helioforecast.space/aurora

Solar wind prediction: https://helioforecast.space/solarwind

Solar cycle predictions: https://helioforecast.space/solarcycle