Margreth Keiler

© Klaus Pichler

Margreth Keiler

Direktorin
Arbeitsgruppenleiterin

T +43 512 50749401
margreth.keiler(at)oeaw.ac.at

Forschungsinteresse

Der Forschungsschwerpunkt von Margreth Keiler liegt auf der Dynamik von Naturgefahren in Gebirgsregionen im Kontext des globalen Wandels, insbesondere auf den Auswirkungen von Klima- und Landnutzungsänderungen auf Gefahrenprozesse und die Gesellschaft. Ein zentrales Interesse gilt dem Verständnis der Entwicklung von Risiken und Resilienz durch die Wechselwirkungen zwischen biogeophysikalischen und gesellschaftlichen Systemen sowie der Erfassung und Analyse anhand von Modellen gekoppelter Mensch-Landschaft-Systeme. In ihrer Arbeit kombiniert sie innovative Methoden und interdisziplinäre Ansätze, darunter maschinelles Lernen, räumliche Modellierung und transdisziplinäre Wissens-Koproduktion, um die Gefahren- und Risikoforschung voranzutreiben und eine nachhaltige und adaptive Risikogovernance in Gebirgsregionen zu unterstützen.

Laufbahn

Margreth Keiler studierte Geographie und Erdwissenschaften an den Universitäten Innsbruck und Aberdeen. Im September 2004 promovierte sie an der Universität Innsbruck. Anschließend forschte und lehrte sie am Institut für Geographie und Regionalforschung der Universität Wien. Forschungsaufenthalte führten sie an die University of Exeter (UK), das Santa Fe Institute (USA) sowie als Fulbright-Gastprofessorin an die Duke University (USA). Von August 2011 bis Februar 2021 leitet sie die Gruppe Geomorphologie, Naturgefahren- und Risikoforschung am Geographischen Institut der Universität Bern. 2012 habilitierte sie an den Universitäten Wien und Bern, wo sie 2017 zur Assoziierten Professorin befördert wurde. Von 2014 bis 2021 war sie Forscherin im Mobiliar Lab für Naturrisiken am Oeschger-Zentrum für Klimawandelforschung der Universität Bern und übernahm ab 2016 auch die Co-Leitung des Labs.

Seit März 2021 ist sie, parallel zu ihrer Funktion als Direktorin und Leiterin der Arbeitsgruppe „Coupled Human-Landscape Systems: Risk and Resilience“, auch Professorin am Institut für Geographie der Universität Innsbruck. Margreth Keiler ist Executive Editor der Zeitschrift Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Mitglied des Editor-in-Chief-Teams der Zeitschrift eco.mont sowie des Science Leadership Council der Mountain Research Initiative.

Beitrag in Fachzeitschrift

  • Branke, J, Zieher, T, Pfeiffer, J, Bremer, M, Rutzinger, M, Keiler, M, Gems, B & Schneider-Muntau, B 2025, 'Historical aerial image photogrammetry for tracking past deformation of Reissenschuh deep-seated rock slide in Tyrol, Austria', Geomorphology, vol. 490, 109996. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2025.109996
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  • Rindsfueser, N, Mosimann, M, Keiler, M & Zischg, AP 2025, 'Flood risk monitoring in Switzerland: Proof of concept', International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 119, 105337, pp. 105337. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105337
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  • Rindsfuser, N, Mosimann, M, Ernst, S, Keiler, M & Zischg, AP 2025, 'Neglecting property-level flood risk adaptation measures lead to overestimation in flood risk analysis - An empirical study', International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 119, pp. 105326. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105326
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  • Loreti, S, Keiler, M & Zischg, AP 2025, 'A severe local flood and social events show a similar impact on human mobility', npj Complexity, vol. 2, pp. 6. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44260-025-00030-6
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  • Fuchs, S, Karagiorgos, K, Keiler, M, Nyberg, L, Papathoma-Koehle, M & Polderman, A 2026, 'Invited perspectives: Four reasons DRR does not work as intended - lessons from the 2025 California wildfires and beyond', Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 26, no. 4, pp. 1785-1794. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1785-2026
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  • Ishmam, MSK, Gems, B, Rutzinger, M & Keiler, M 2026, 'SCoMHA: a framework to analyse process-level sediment connectivity in multi-hazard events', Natural Hazards, vol. 122, no. 9, 394. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-026-08149-y
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  • Coutureau, V, Bork-Huffer, T & Keiler, M 2026, 'Brief communication: Towards disability inclusive risk management', Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 26, no. 1, pp. 703-708. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-703-2026
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  • Papilloud, T, Steiner, A, Zischg, A & Keiler, M 2024, 'Road network disruptions during extreme flooding events and their impact on the access to emergency medical services: A spatiotemporal vulnerability analysis', Science of the Total Environment, vol. 956, pp. 177140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177140
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  • Braun, V, Gravey, M, Haller, A, Heinrich, K, Keiler, M, Polderman, A & Ruiz Peyré, F 2024, 'Tackling Inter- and Transdisciplinary Challenges: A New Research Approach for the Institute for Interdisciplinary Mountain Research', Mountain Research and Development, vol. 44, no. 4, pp. P1-P2. https://doi.org/10.1659/mrd.2024.00029
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  • Rindsfuser, N, Zischg, AP & Keiler, M 2024, 'Monitoring flood risk evolution: A systematic review', iScience, vol. 27, no. 9, pp. ARTN 110653. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2024.110653
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  • Fuchs, S, Karagiorgos, K, Keiler, M, Papathoma-Koehle, M & Nyberg, L 2024, 'The ambiguity in IPCC's risk diagram raises explanatory challenges', Natural Hazards, vol. 120, pp. 12559-12564. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-024-06643-9
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  • Ramirez, J, Mertin, M, Peleg, N, Horton, P, Skinner, C, Zimmermann, M & Keiler, M 2022, 'Modelling the long-term geomorphic response to check dam failures in an alpine channel with CAESAR-Lisflood', International Journal of Sediment Research, vol. 37, no. 5, pp. 687-700. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijsrc.2022.04.005
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  • Papathoma-Koehle, M, Schloegl, M, Dosser, L, Roesch, F, Borga, M, Erlicher, M, Keiler, M & Fuchs, S 2022, 'Physical vulnerability to dynamic flooding: Vulnerability curves and vulnerability indices', Journal of Hydrology, vol. 607, pp. ARTN 127501. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.127501
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  • Loreti, S, Ser-Giacomi, E, Zischg, A, Keiler, M & Barthelemy, M 2022, 'Local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floods', Scientific Reports, no. 12, pp. 1552. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-04927-3
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  • Kreibich, H, de Ruiter, Marleen, C, Goda, K, Keiler, M, Suppasri, A & Malamud, BD 2021, 'Critical research in the water-related multi-hazard field', Nature Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00833-0
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  • Papilloud, T & Keiler, M 2021, 'Vulnerability patterns of road network to extreme floods based on accessibility measures', Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, vol. 100, pp. 103045. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2021.103045
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  • Zischg, AP, Röthlisberger, V, Mosimann, M, Profico-Kaltenrieder, R, Bresch, DN, Fuchs, S, Kauzlaric, M & Keiler, M 2021, 'Evaluating targeted heuristics for vulnerability assessment in flood impact model chains', Journal of Flood Risk Management. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12736
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  • Malgwi, MB, Ramirez, JA, Zischg, A, Zimmermann, M, Schürmann, S & Keiler, M 2021, 'A method to reconstruct flood scenarios using field interviews and hydrodynamic modelling: application to the 2017 Suleja and Tafa, Nigeria flood', Natural Hazards, vol. 108, pp. 1781-1805. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04756-z
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  • Malgwi, MB, Schlögl, M & Keiler, M 2021, 'Expert-based versus data-driven flood damage models: A comparative evaluation for data-scarce regions', International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 57, pp. 102148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102148
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  • Ramirez, JA, Zischg, AP, Schurmann, S, Zimmermann, M, Weingartner, R, Coulthard, T & Keiler, M 2020, 'Modeling the geomorphic response to early river engineering works using CAESAR-Lisflood', Anthropocene, vol. 32, 100266. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ancene.2020.100266
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  • Hossain, MS, Ramirez, JA, Haisch, T, Speranza, CI, Martius, O, Mayer, H & Keiler, M 2020, 'A coupled human and landscape conceptual model of risk and resilience in Swiss Alpine communities', Science of the Total Environment, vol. 730, 138322. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138322
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  • Papilloud, T, Roethlisberger, V, Loreti, S & Keiler, M 2020, 'Flood exposure analysis of road infrastructure - Comparison of different methods at national level', International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 47, 101548. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101548
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  • Malgwi, MB, Fuchs, S & Keiler, M 2020, 'A generic physical vulnerability model for floods: review and concept for data-scarce regions', Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 20, no. 7, pp. 2067-2090. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2067-2020
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  • Chow, C, Andrasik, R, Fischer, B & Keiler, M 2019, 'Application of statistical techniques to proportional loss data: Evaluating the predictive accuracy of physical vulnerability to hazardous hydro-meteorological events', Journal of Environmental Management, vol. 246, pp. 85-100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.05.084
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  • Fuchs, S, Heiser, M, Zischg, A, Papathoma-Koehle, M & Keiler, M 2019, 'Short communication: A model to predict flood loss in mountain areas', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 117, pp. 176-180. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.03.026
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  • Klein, JA, Tucker, CM, Steger, CE, Nolin, A, Reid, R, Hopping, KA, Yeh, ET, Pradhan, MS, Taber, A, Molden, D, Ghate, R, Choudhury, D, Alcantara-Ayala, I, Lavorel, S, Mueller, B, Gret-Regamey, A, Boone, RB, Bourgeron, P, Castellanos, E, Chen, X, Dong, S, Keiler, M, Seidl, R, Thorn, J & Yager, K 2019, 'An integrated community and ecosystem-based approach to disaster risk reduction in mountain systems', Environmental Science and Policy, vol. 94, pp. 143-152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2018.12.034
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  • Mosimann, M, Frossard, L, Keiler, M, Weingartner, R & Zischg, AP 2018, 'A Robust and Transferable Model for the Prediction of Flood Losses on Household Contents', Water, vol. 10, no. 11, 1596. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10111596
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  • Zischg, AP, Hofer, P, Mosimann, M, Rothlisberger, V, Ramirez, JA, Keiler, M & Weingartner, R 2018, 'Flood risk (d) evolution: Disentangling key drivers of flood risk change with a retro-model experiment', Science of the Total Environment, vol. 639, pp. 195-207. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.056
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  • Roethlisberger, V, Zischg, AP & Keiler, M 2018, 'A comparison of building value models for flood risk analysis', Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 18, no. 9, pp. 2431-2453. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2431-2018
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  • Chow, C, Ramirez, J & Keiler, M 2018, 'Application of Sensitivity Analysis for Process Model Calibration of Natural Hazards', Geosciences, vol. 8, no. 6, 218. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences8060218
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  • Thaler, T, Zischg, A, Keiler, M & Fuchs, S 2018, 'Correction to: Allocation of risk and benefits-distributional justices in mountain hazard management', Regional Environmental Change, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 367-369. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1274-6
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  • Thaler, T, Zischg, A, Keiler, M & Fuchs, S 2018, 'Allocation of risk and benefits-distributional justices in mountain hazard management', Regional Environmental Change, vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 353-365. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-017-1229-y
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  • Roethlisberger, V, Zischg, AP & Keiler, M 2017, 'Identifying spatial clusters of flood exposure to support decision making in risk management', Science of the Total Environment, vol. 598, pp. 593-603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.216
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  • Fuchs, S, Keiler, M & Glade, T 2017, 'Editorial to the special issue on resilience and vulnerability assessments in natural hazard and risk analysis', Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 17, no. 7, pp. 1203-1206. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-17-1203-2017
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  • Keiler, M & Fuchs, S 2017, 'Christine Embleton-Hamann zum 65. Geburtstag', Mitteilungen der Osterreichischen Geographischen Gesellschaft, vol. 159, pp. 413-415. https://doi.org/10.1553/moegg159s413
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  • Fuchs, S, Roethlisberger, V, Thaler, T, Zischg, A & Keiler, M 2017, 'Natural Hazard Management from a Coevolutionary Perspective: Exposure and Policy Response in the European Alps', Annals of the American Association of Geographers, vol. 107, no. 2, pp. 382-392. https://doi.org/10.1080/24694452.2016.1235494
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  • Temme, AJAM, Keiler, M, Karssenberg, D & Lang, A 2015, 'Complexity and non-linearity in earth surface processes - concepts, methods and applications', Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, vol. 40, no. 9, pp. 1270-1274. https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.3712
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  • Zimmermann, M & Keiler, M 2015, 'International Frameworks for Disaster Risk Reduction: Useful Guidance for Sustainable Mountain Development?', Mountain Research and Development, vol. 35, no. 2, pp. 195-202. https://doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-15-00006.1
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  • Fuchs, S, Keiler, M, Sokratov, S & Shnyparkov, A 2013, 'Spatiotemporal dynamics: the need for an innovative approach in mountain hazard risk management', Natural Hazards, vol. 68, no. 3, pp. 1217-1241. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0508-7
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  • Poeppl, RE, Keiler, M, von Elverfeldt, K, Zweimueller, I & Glade, T 2012, 'The Influence of Riparian Vegetation Cover on Diffuse Lateral Sediment Connectivity and Biogeomorphic Processes in a Medium-sized Agricultural Catchment, Austria', Geografiska Annaler, Series A: Physical Geography, vol. 94A, no. 4, pp. 511-529. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0459.2012.00476.x
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  • Kappes, MS, Keiler, M, von Elverfeldt, K & Glade, T 2012, 'Challenges of analyzing multi-hazard risk: a review', Natural Hazards, vol. 64, no. 2, pp. 1925-1958. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0294-2
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  • Keiler, M, Kellerer-Pirklbauer, A & Otto, J-C 2012, 'Preface: Concepts and Implications of Environmental Change and Human Impact: Studies From Austrian Geomorphological Research', Geografiska Annaler, Series A: Physical Geography, vol. 94A, no. 1, pp. 1-5. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0459.2012.00457.x
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  • Keiler, M 2011, 'Geomorphology and Complexity - inseparably connected?', Zeitschrift fur Geomorphologie, vol. 55, pp. 233-257. https://doi.org/10.1127/0372-8854/2011/0055S3-0060
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  • Keiler, M, Knight, J & Harrison, S 2010, 'Climate change and geomorphological hazards in the eastern European Alps', Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, vol. 368, no. 1919, pp. 2461-2479. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2010.0047
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Beitrag in Sammelwerk

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Herausgeberschaften

  • Huppmann, D, Keiler, M, Riahi, K & Rieder, H (eds) 2025, Second Austrian Assessment Report on Climate Change (AAR2) of the Austrian Panel on Climate Change (APCC). ÖAW-Verlag. <https://doi.org/10.1553/aar2 >
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  • Huppmann, D (ed.), Riahi, K (ed.), Keiler, M (ed.), Rieder, H (ed.), Brudermann, T, Gingrich, S, Hanger-Kopp, S, Daniel, H, Keiler, M, Kirchner, M, Kleidorfer, M, Knaus, K, Miess, M, Novy, A, Olfes, M, Riahi, K, Rieder, H, Schöniger, F, Steiger, R, Donner, A, Holzinger, M, Hummel, E-M, Mayer, M, Rauchenwald, V & Scheifinger, K 2025, Technical Summary: Second Austrian Assessment Report on Climate Change (AAR2) of the Austrian Panel on Climate Change (APCC). ÖAW-Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1553/aar2-ts
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  • Huppmann, D (ed.), Keiler, M (ed.), Riahi, K (ed.), Rieder, H (ed.), Brudermann, T, Gingrich, S, Hanger-Kopp, S, Huppmann, D, Keiler, M, Kirchner, M, Kleidorfer, M, Knaus, K, Miess, M, Novy, A, Olefs, M, Riahi, K, Rieder, H, Schöniger, F, Steiger, R, Donner, A, Holzinger, M, Hummel, E-M, Mayer, M, Rauchenwald, V & Scheifinger, K 2025, Wissenschaftliche Zusammenfassung: Second Austrian Assessment Report on Climate Change (AAR2) of the Austrian Panel on Climate Change (APCC). ÖAW-Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1553/aar2-ts-de
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  • Huppmann, D (ed.), Keiler, M (ed.), Riahi, K (ed.), Rieder, H (ed.), Huppmann, D, Keiler, M, Riahi, K, Rieder, H, Brad, A, Formayer, H, Fuchs, S, Kettner, C, Kranzl, L, Novy, A, Resch, G, Schinko, T, Schmidt, J, Schöniger, F, Steininger, K, Spittler, N, Donner, A, Holzinger, M, Hummel, E-M, Mayer, M, Rauchenwald, V & Scheifinger, K 2025, Summary for Policymakers: Second Austrian Assessment Report on Climate Change (AAR2) of the Austrian Panel on Climate Change (APCC). ÖAW-Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1553/aar2-spm
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  • Huppmann, D (ed.), Keiler, M (ed.), Riahi, K (ed.), Rieder, H (ed.), Huppmann, D, Keiler, M, Riahi, K, Rieder, H, Brad, A, Formayer, H, Fuchs, S, Kettner, C, Kranzl, L, Novy, A, Resch, G, Schinko, T, Schmidt, J, Schöniger, F, Steininger, K, Spittler, N, Donner, A, Mayer, M, Rauchenwald, V & Scheifinger, K 2025, Zusammenfassung für die politische Entscheidungsfindung (SPM): Second Austrian Assessment Report on Climate Change (AAR2) of the Austrian Panel on Climate Change (APCC). ÖAW-Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1553/aar2-spm-de
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  • Braun, V, Gubler, S & Keiler, M (eds) 2025, eco.mont - Journal on protected mountain areas research and management, Vol. 17, No. 2. vol. 17, 2 edn, Innsbruck, Wien. https://doi.org/https://austriaca.at/eco.mont-17-2
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  • Braun, V, Gubler, S & Keiler, M (eds) 2025, eco.mont - Journal on Protected Mountain Areas Research and Management, Vol. 17, No. 1. vol. 17, 1 edn, Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften, innsbruck university press. https://doi.org/10.1553/eco.mont-17-1
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  • Braun, V, Keiler, M & Köck, G (eds) 2024, eco.mont - Journal on Protected Mountain Areas Research and Management, Vol. 16, No. 2. Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften, innsbruck university press. <http://->
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  • Braun, V, Keiler, M & Köck, G (eds) 2024, eco.mont - Journal on Protected Mountain Areas Research and Management, Vol. 16, No. 1. Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften, innsbruck university press. <http://->
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  • Braun, V, Keiler, M & Köck, G (eds) 2023, eco.mont - Journal on Protected Mountain Areas Research and Management, Vol. 15, No. 2. Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften, innsbruck university press. <http://->
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Projekte

COIN2.0

eco.mont

EMERGENCE

INCRA