The Plausibility of Future Scenarios : : Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning / / Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele.
What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundation remain unexplored in previous research.Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents...
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Superior document: | Title is part of eBook package: De Gruyter DG Plus PP Package 2020 Part 2 |
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Place / Publishing House: | Bielefeld : : transcript Verlag, , [2020] ©2020 |
Year of Publication: | 2020 |
Language: | English |
Series: | Science Studies
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Online Access: | |
Physical Description: | 1 online resource (264 p.) |
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Other title: | Frontmatter -- Content -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- Summary of the book -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Scenario planning: characteristics and current issues -- 3 Scenario plausibility: emerging debates in research and practice -- 4 Conceptual explorations: plausibility across disciplines -- 5 Empirical research: Methodology to study scenario plausibility -- 6 Experimental study: quantitative research findings -- 7 Experimental study: qualitative research findings -- 8 Synthesis: A conceptual map of scenario plausibility -- 9 Conclusions and outlook -- Abbreviations -- Acknowledgments -- References |
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Summary: | What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept's ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundation remain unexplored in previous research.Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory, and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how plausibility assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development. |
Format: | Mode of access: Internet via World Wide Web. |
ISBN: | 9783839453193 9783110696295 9783110704716 9783110704518 9783110704723 9783110704549 9783110696301 9783111025124 9783110689617 |
DOI: | 10.1515/9783839453193?locatt=mode:legacy |
Access: | restricted access |
Hierarchical level: | Monograph |
Statement of Responsibility: | Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele. |