Population Dynamics and Forecasting

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Past and forecasted distributions of time specific volatilities in the population change of England and Wales © - VID


Research Group Leader: Sergei Scherbov


Researchers: Guy Abel, Guillermo Vinue Visus


The main task of the research group is the development and application of statistical and computer methods and techniques in order to analyse and project the dynamics of population and its components such as fertility, mortality and migration. Since population ageing is seen as a big concern in most developed countries as well as in many other regions of the world, this topic also constitutes an important research agenda for the group. The recently developed "Characteristics Approach to the Measurement of Population Aging" is used as a main methodological tool in the analysis of ageing.