Sergei Scherbov

Research Group: Population Dynamics and Forecasting

Phone: +43 2236 807 584

E-Mail: scherbov(at)iiasa.ac.at


About

Sergei Scherbov is Director of Demographic Analysis. Demographic analysis has a very prominent role among activities of the Wittgenstein Centre, as the size, composition and structure of populations affect almost every aspect of our lives. Demographic analysis is about methods of measuring dimensions and dynamics of population. Development of population size and its composition to a large extent defines the whole subject of demography. To deal with future population dynamics, we apply conventional demographic methods and advanced methods that include multi-state and stochastic approaches. We want to contribute to the further improvement of existing methodologies as well as to the development of new methodologies related to demographic analysis.

Sergei Scherbov is the Deputy Program Director of IIASA's World Population Program (POP), Director of Demographic Analysis at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU) and Leader of the Population Dynamics and Forecasting Research Group at the Vienna Institute of Demography (VID), Austrian Academy of Sciences. He is also Guest Professor at the Department Socioeconomics at the Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU), and Affiliated Professor at the College of Population Studies, Chulalongkorn University, Thailand.

Dr. Scherbov graduated from the Moscow Aviation University where he studied operations research and applied mathematics, and he received his PhD in theory of systems, control theory and systems analysis from the Research Institute for Systems Studies of the USSR Academy of Sciences.

Since 1982 has been a frequent collaborator and Guest Research Scholar with the Population Program which he joined as a staff member in 1987. From 1991–2001 he was Researcher and Senior Lecturer at the University of Groningen, Netherlands, teaching on Demographic Methods and Computer Based Demographic Analysis. He returned to IIASA in 2002 to work on issues related to demographic modelling.

Dr. Scherbov has given numerous intensive "hands-on" courses in the field of Demographic Analysis and Computer Applications at many universities and statistical offices across the globe, many of which were organised by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA). In recent years, Dr. Scherbov also assisted a number of governments in defining and evaluating population policies.

His main current research interests are in population projections, new measures of ageing, and analysis of ageing that takes into consideration changing characteristics of people. Scherbov is author, co-author or co-editor of several books and more than 150 articles published in professional journals, including six articles in "Science" and "Nature". In 2012, he received a prestigious Advanced Grant from the European Research Council (ERC) to study new measures of ageing. 


Selected Publications:

  • Sanchez-Niubo, A. et al.2019. “Cohort Profile: The Ageing Trajectories Of Health - Longitudinal Opportunities And Synergies (Athlos) Project”. Int. J. Epidemiol.48:1052-+.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2016. “A New Perspective On Patterns Of Aging In Europe By Education And Gender.”. Journal Of Population Ageing9:207-225.
  • Scherbov, S. and D. Ediev.2016. “Does Selection Of Mortality Model Make A Difference In Projecting Population Ageing?”. 34:39-62.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2015. “Are We Overly Dependent On Conventional Dependency Rations?”. 41:687-708.

More Publications

More Publications

  • Sanchez-Niubo, A. et al.2019. “Cohort Profile: The Ageing Trajectories Of Health - Longitudinal Opportunities And Synergies (Athlos) Project”. Int. J. Epidemiol.48:1052-+.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2016. “A New Perspective On Patterns Of Aging In Europe By Education And Gender.”. Journal Of Population Ageing9:207-225.
  • Scherbov, S. and D. Ediev.2016. “Does Selection Of Mortality Model Make A Difference In Projecting Population Ageing?”. 34:39-62.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2015. “Are We Overly Dependent On Conventional Dependency Rations?”. 41:687-708.
  • Stuart Gietel-Basten, and Sergei Scherbov.2019. “Is Half The World’S Population Really Below ‘Replacement-Rate’?”. Plos One14:e0224985.. Retrieved(http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0224985).
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2019.Prospective Longevity A New Vision Of Population Aging.Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Retrieved(https://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674975613).
  • Gietel-Basten, S. and S. Scherbov.2019. “Exploring The ‘True Value’ Of Replacement Rate Fertility”. Population Research And Policy Reviewe0224985:1–10.
  • Scherbov, S., W. Sanderson, and S. Andruchowitz.2019. “United States Aging Data Sheet 2019.” International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Retrieved(https://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/research/researchPrograms/WorldPopulation/News/190822-USDS.html).
  • Gietel-Basten, S. and S. Scherbov.2019. “Better Way To Measure Ageing In Oceania That Takes Life Expectancy Into Account” International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Australasian Journal On Ageing38:98-102.
  • Prskawetz, A., W. C. Sanderson, and S. Scherbov.2019. “Broadening Demographic Horizons: Demographic Studies Beyond Age And Gender”.Pp. 1-5inVienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018 (Vol. 16).
  • Simone Ghislandi,, Warren C. Sanderson, and Sergei Scherbov.2019. “A Simple Measure Of Human Development: The Human Life Indicator”. Population And Development Review45:219-233.
  • Sanderson, W. C., S. Scherbov, and P. Gerland.2019. “The End Of Population Aging In High-Income Countries”.Pp. 163 - 175inVienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018 (Vol. 16).
  • Ediev, D. M., W. C. Sanderson, and S. Scherbov.2019. “The Inverse Relationship Between Life Expectancy-Induced Changes In The Old-Age Dependency Ratio And The Prospective Old-Age Dependency Ratio”. Theoretical Population Biology125:1-10.
  • Gietel-Basten, S., V. Mau, W. Sanderson, S. Scherbov, and S. Shulgin.2019. “Ageing In Russia: A Regional Appraisal” International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Journal Of Population Ageing12:1-18.
  • Scherbov, S. et al.2019. “Russian Demographic Data Sheet 2019” Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat),, and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA),.
  • Bruno Arpino,, Valeria Bordone, and SergeiScherbov.2018. “Smoking, Education And The Ability To Predict Own Survival Probabilities”. Advances In A Life Course Research23-30.
  • Scherbov, S., S. Andruchowitz, and W. (2018). Sanderson.2018. “Aging Demographic Data Sheet 2018. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.”.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2017. “A Unifying Framework For The Study Of Population Aging”. Vienna Yearbook Of Population Research 201614:7-39.
  • Gietel-Basten, S., S. Scherbov, and W. C. Sanderson.2017. “Towards A Reconceptualising Of Population Ageing In Emerging Markets”. Vienna Yearbook Of Population Research 201614:41-65.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2017. “Introduction”. Vienna Yearbook Of Population Research 201614:1-3.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2017.Vienna Yearbook Of Population Research 2016.S. Scherbov and Sanderson, W. C.Wien: Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften.
  • Scherbov, S. and D. Weber.2017. “Future Trends In The Prevalence Of Severe Activity Limitations Among Older Adults In Europe: A Cross-National Population Study Using Eu-Silc”. Bmj Open7:e017654.
  • Arpino, B., V. Bordone, and S. Scherbov.2017. “Smoking, Education And The Ability To Predict Own Survival Probabilities: An Observational Study On Us Data”. Retrieved(http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/14692/1/WP-17-012.pdf).
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2017. “Gender Inequality In Survival At Older Ages”. Retrieved(http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/14489/1/WP-17-002.pdf).
  • Ediev, D., W. Sanderson, and S. Scherbov.2016. “The Formal Demography Of Prospective Age: The Relationship Between The Old-Age Dependency Ratio And The Prospective Old-Age Dependency Ratio”. Retrieved(http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/14164/1/WP-16-024.pdf).
  • Scherbov, S. and W. C. Sanderson.2016. “New Approaches To The Conceptualization And Measurement Of Age And Aging”. Retrieved(http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/13284/1/WP-16-005.pdf).
  • Sanderson, W. C., S. Scherbov, D. Weber, and V. Bordone.2016. “Combined Measures Of Upper And Lower Body Strength And Subgroup Differences In Subsequent Survival Among The Older Population Of England”. Retrieved(http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/13285/1/WP-16-008.pdf).
  • Scherbov, S. and W. C. Sanderson.2016. “New Approaches To The Conceptualization And Measurement Of Age And Aging”. Journal Of Aging And Health28:1159-1177.
  • Sanderson, W. C., S. Scherbov, D. Weber, and V. Bordone.2016. “Combined Measures Of Upper And Lower Body Strength And Subgroup Differences In Subsequent Survival Among The Older Population Of England”. Journal Of Aging And Health28:1178-1193.
  • Sergei Scherbov, et al.2016. “European Demographic Datasheet 2016”. Retrieved(http://www.populationeurope.org/).
  • Philipov, D. and S. Scherbov.2016. “Differences By Union Status In Health And Mortality At Older Ages: Results For 16 European Countries. Demographic Research”. Demographic Research35:535-556. Retrieved(http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol35/19/35-19.pdf).
  • Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA),, Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat), and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), eds.2016. “Russian Demographic Data Sheet 2016”.
  • Bordone, V., S. Scherbov, and N. Steiber.2015. “Smarter Every Day: The Deceleration Of Population Ageing In Terms Of Cognition”. Intelligence52:90-96.
  • Goujon, A., A. Fürnkranz-Prskawetz, and J. Eder.2015. “40 Years Of The Vienna Institute Of Demography 1975–2015. From An Austrian To A European To A Global Player”. 48.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2015. “Faster Increase In Human Life Expectancy Could Lead To Slower Population Aging.”. 10:e0121922.
  • Gietel-Basten, S., S. Scherbov, and W. C. Sanderson.2015. “Remeasuring Ageing In Southeast Asia.”. 11:191-210.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2015. “An Easily Understood And Intergenerationally Equitable Normal Pension Age.”.Pp. 193-220in, vol. 41, B. Marin. Farnham, UK: Ashgate Publishing, Ltd.
  • Scherbov, S.; Sanderson, W.C.; Mamolo, M. (2012, online: 2012) Quantifying Policy Tradeoffs to Support Aging Populations. Bericht-Nr. IR-12-015; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis: Laxenburg.
  • Lutz, W.2012. “Demography's Role In Sustainable Development”. Science Magazine335 (6071):918.
  • Lutz, W.; Sanderson, W.; Scherbov, S. (2008) The coming acceleration of global population ageing. Nature, Bd. 451, S. 716-719.

Areas of Expertise:

  • Population projections analysis of ageing that takes into consideration changing characteristics of people
  • New measures of ageing
  • Analyses of ageing that take into consideration changing characteristics of people

Curriculum Vitae: