Sergei Scherbov

Research Group: Population Dynamics and Forecasting

Phone: +43 2236 807 584

E-Mail: scherbov(at)


Sergei Scherbov is Director of Demographic Analysis. Demographic analysis has a very prominent role among activities of the Wittgenstein Centre, as the size, composition and structure of populations affect almost every aspect of our lives. Demographic analysis is about methods of measuring dimensions and dynamics of population. Development of population size and its composition to a large extent defines the whole subject of demography. To deal with future population dynamics, we apply conventional demographic methods and advanced methods that include multi-state and stochastic approaches. We want to contribute to the further improvement of existing methodologies as well as to the development of new methodologies related to demographic analysis.

Sergei Scherbov is the Deputy Program Director of IIASA's World Population Program (POP), Director of Demographic Analysis at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU) and Leader of the Population Dynamics and Forecasting Research Group at the Vienna Institute of Demography (VID), Austrian Academy of Sciences. He is also Guest Professor at the Department Socioeconomics at the Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU), and Affiliated Professor at the College of Population Studies, Chulalongkorn University, Thailand.

Dr. Scherbov graduated from the Moscow Aviation University where he studied operations research and applied mathematics, and he received his PhD in theory of systems, control theory and systems analysis from the Research Institute for Systems Studies of the USSR Academy of Sciences.

Since 1982 has been a frequent collaborator and Guest Research Scholar with the Population Program which he joined as a staff member in 1987. From 1991–2001 he was Researcher and Senior Lecturer at the University of Groningen, Netherlands, teaching on Demographic Methods and Computer Based Demographic Analysis. He returned to IIASA in 2002 to work on issues related to demographic modelling.

Dr. Scherbov has given numerous intensive "hands-on" courses in the field of Demographic Analysis and Computer Applications at many universities and statistical offices across the globe, many of which were organised by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA). In recent years, Dr. Scherbov also assisted a number of governments in defining and evaluating population policies.

His main current research interests are in population projections, new measures of ageing, and analysis of ageing that takes into consideration changing characteristics of people. Scherbov is author, co-author or co-editor of several books and more than 150 articles published in professional journals, including six articles in "Science" and "Nature". In 2012, he received a prestigious Advanced Grant from the European Research Council (ERC) to study new measures of ageing. 


Areas of Expertise

  • Population projections analysis of ageing that takes into consideration changing characteristics of people
  • New measures of ageing
  • Analyses of ageing that take into consideration changing characteristics of people

Selected Publications

Are we overly dependent on conventional dependency ratio
Author(s): Sanderson WC, Scherbov S
Reference: Population and Development Review, 41(4):687-708
Year: 2015

Does selection of mortality model make a difference in projecting population ageing?
Author(s): Scherbov S, Ediev D
Reference: Demographic Research, 34(2):39-62
Year: 2016

A new perspective on patterns of aging in Europe by education and gender
Author(s): Sanderson WC, Scherbov S
Reference: Journal of Population Ageing, Article in press (Published online 10 July 2015)
Year: 2015