Sergei Scherbov

Research Group
Population Dynamics and Forecasting

Phone
+43 2236 807 584

E-Mail
scherbov(at)iiasa.ac.at


About

Sergei Scherbov is Director of Demographic Analysis. Demographic analysis has a very prominent role among activities of the Wittgenstein Centre, as the size, composition, and structure of populations affect almost every aspect of our lives. Demographic analysis is about methods of measuring dimensions and dynamics of population. Development of population size and its composition to a large extent defines the whole subject of demography. To deal with future population dynamics, we apply conventional demographic methods and advanced methods that include multi-state and stochastic approaches. We want to contribute to the further improvement of existing methodologies as well as to the development of new methodologies related to demographic analysis.

Sergei Scherbov is the Deputy Program Director of IIASA's World Population Program (POP), Director of Demographic Analysis at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU), and Leader of the Population Dynamics and Forecasting Research Group at the Vienna Institute of Demography (VID), Austrian Academy of Sciences. He is also Guest Professor at the Department Socioeconomics at the Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU), and Affiliated Professor at the College of Population Studies, Chulalongkorn University, Thailand.

Dr. Scherbov graduated from the Moscow Aviation University where he studied operation research and applied mathematics, and received his PhD in theory of systems, control theory and systems analysis from the Research Institute for Systems Studies of the USSR Academy of Sciences.

Since 1982 has been a frequent collaborator and Guest Research Scholar with the Population Program which he joined as a staff member in 1987. From 1991-2001 he was Researcher and Senior Lecturer at the University of Groningen, The Netherlands, teaching on Demographic Methods and Computer Based Demographic Analysis. He returned to IIASA in 2002 to work on issues related to demographic modeling.

Dr. Scherbov has given numerous intensive "hands on" courses in the field of Demographic Analysis and Computer Applications at many universities and statistical offices across the globe, many of which were organized by the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA). In recent years, Dr. Scherbov also assisted a number of governments in defining and evaluating population policies.

His main current research interests are in population projections, new measures of aging, and analysis of aging that takes into consideration changing characteristics of people. Scherbov is author, co-author, or co-editor of several books and more than 150 articles published in professional journals, including six articles in "Science" and "Nature". In 2012, he received a prestigious Advanced Grant from the European Research Council (ERC) to study new measures of aging. 


Areas of Expertise

  • Population projections analysis of aging that takes into consideration changing characteristics of people
  • New measures of ageing
  • Analyses of ageing that take into consideration changing characteristics of people

Selected Publications

Selected Publications

  • Sanchez-Niubo, A. et al.2019. “Cohort Profile: The Ageing Trajectories Of Health - Longitudinal Opportunities And Synergies (Athlos) Project”. Int. J. Epidemiol.48:1052-+.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2016. “A New Perspective On Patterns Of Aging In Europe By Education And Gender.”. Journal Of Population Ageing9:207-225.
  • Scherbov, S. and D. Ediev.2016. “Does Selection Of Mortality Model Make A Difference In Projecting Population Ageing?”. 34:39-62.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2015. “Are We Overly Dependent On Conventional Dependency Rations?”. 41:687-708.

List of Publications

List of Publications

  • Sanchez-Niubo, A. et al.2019. “Cohort Profile: The Ageing Trajectories Of Health - Longitudinal Opportunities And Synergies (Athlos) Project”. Int. J. Epidemiol.48:1052-+.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2016. “A New Perspective On Patterns Of Aging In Europe By Education And Gender.”. Journal Of Population Ageing9:207-225.
  • Scherbov, S. and D. Ediev.2016. “Does Selection Of Mortality Model Make A Difference In Projecting Population Ageing?”. 34:39-62.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2015. “Are We Overly Dependent On Conventional Dependency Rations?”. 41:687-708.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2020. “New Approaches To The Conceptualization And Measurement Of Age And Ageing”.Pp. 243-258inDevelopments in Demographic Forecasting, S. Mazzuco and Keilman, N.Cham, Switzerland: Springer.
  • Marois, G., R. Muttarak, and S. Scherbov.2020. “Assessing The Potential Impact Of Covid-19 On Life Expectancy”. Plos One15:e0238678.
  • Scherbov, S., S. Gietel-Basten, and S. E. Giorguli Saucedo.2020. “Prospective Measures Of Aging For Central And South America”. Plos One15:e0236280.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2020. “Choosing Between The Un's Alternative Views Of Population Aging”. Plos One15:e0233602.
  • Weber, D. and S. Scherbov.2020. “Prospects Of Activity Limitations Among Older Adults In 23 Low And Middle Income Countries”. Scientific Reports Volume10:1-8.
  • Gietel-Basten, S., V. Mau, S. Scherbov, and S. Shulgin.2020. “The Gender Gap In Reaching “Old Age” In The Russian Federation: A Regional Approach”. Journal Of Ageing And Social Policy.
  • Tyrovolas, S. et al.2020. “Alcohol Drinking And Health In Ageing: A Global Scale Analysis Of Older Individual Data Through The Harmonised Dataset Of Athlos”. Nutrients12:1746.
  • Marois, G., R. Muttarak, and S. Scherbov.2020. “Assessing The Potential Impact Of Covid-19 On Life Expectancy”. Retrieved(http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/16477).
  • Scherbov, S. and S. Gietel-Basten.2020. “Measuring Inequalities Of Development At The Sub-National Level: From The Human Development Index To The Human Life Indicator.”. Plos One15:e0232014.
  • Philipov, D. and S. Scherbov.2020. “Subjective Length Of Life Of European Individuals At Older Ages: Temporal And Gender Distinctions”. Plos One15:e0229975.
  • Scherbov, S., W. Sanderson, and S. Andruchowitz.2020. “Aging Demographic Datasheet 2020” I. I. A. S. A. World Population Program. Retrieved(http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/16279/1/AgingDemDataSheet2020.pdf).
  • Stuart Gietel-Basten, and Sergei Scherbov.2019. “Is Half The World’S Population Really Below ‘Replacement-Rate’?”. Plos One14:e0224985.. Retrieved(http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0224985).
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2019.Prospective Longevity A New Vision Of Population Aging.Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Retrieved(https://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674975613).
  • Gietel-Basten, S. and S. Scherbov.2019. “Exploring The ‘True Value’ Of Replacement Rate Fertility”. Population Research And Policy Reviewe0224985:1–10.
  • Scherbov, S., W. Sanderson, and S. Andruchowitz.2019. “United States Aging Data Sheet 2019.” International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Retrieved(https://www.iiasa.ac.at/web/home/research/researchPrograms/WorldPopulation/News/190822-USDS.html).
  • Gietel-Basten, S. and S. Scherbov.2019. “Better Way To Measure Ageing In Oceania That Takes Life Expectancy Into Account” International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Australasian Journal On Ageing38:98-102.
  • Prskawetz, A., W. C. Sanderson, and S. Scherbov.2019. “Broadening Demographic Horizons: Demographic Studies Beyond Age And Gender”.Pp. 1-5inVienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018 (Vol. 16).
  • Ghislandi, S., W. C. Sanderson, and S. Scherbov.2019. “A Simple Measure Of Human Development: The Human Life Indicator”. Population And Development Review45:219-233.
  • Sanderson, W. C., S. Scherbov, and P. Gerland.2019. “The End Of Population Aging In High-Income Countries”.Pp. 163 - 175inVienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018 (Vol. 16).
  • Ediev, D. M., W. C. Sanderson, and S. Scherbov.2019. “The Inverse Relationship Between Life Expectancy-Induced Changes In The Old-Age Dependency Ratio And The Prospective Old-Age Dependency Ratio”. Theoretical Population Biology125:1-10.
  • Gietel-Basten, S., V. Mau, W. Sanderson, S. Scherbov, and S. Shulgin.2019. “Ageing In Russia: A Regional Appraisal” International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. Journal Of Population Ageing12:1-18.
  • Scherbov, S. et al.2019. “Russian Demographic Data Sheet 2019” Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat),, and International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA),.
  • Arpino, B., V. Bordone, and S. Scherbov.2018. “Smoking, Education And The Ability To Predict Own Survival Probabilities”. Advances In A Life Course Research23-30.
  • Scherbov, S., S. Andruchowitz, and W. Sanderson.2018. “Aging Demographic Data Sheet 2018. International Institute For Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.”.
  • Sanderson, W. C. and S. Scherbov.2017. “A Unifying Framework For The Study Of Population Aging”. Vienna Yearbook Of Population Research 201614:7-39.
  • Gietel-Basten, S., S. Scherbov, and W. C. Sanderson.2017. “Towards A Reconceptualising Of Population Ageing In Emerging Markets”. Vienna Yearbook Of Population Research 201614:41-65.