VID Colloquium

Demographic and Geographic Determinants of Physician Supply

Michael Kuhn, VID

Carsten Ochsen, University of Applied Labour Studies, Germany & MPIDR

Date: Tue, 15 February 2011 , Time: 14:00-15:00

We analyze the demographic and geographic determinants of physician supply. Attention is given to (i) local population change as a predictor of future demand for physician services, (ii) the interaction of population age-structure and regional character in shaping profitability and supply, and (iii) cross-regional correlations in supply. Using German regional data, we examine econometrically the determinants of physician supply. We find it to be negatively related to the population shares 60+ and 20- in rural areas. Both population shares have a less negative impact in urban areas, but a significant positive effect arises only for the share 20- in agglomerations. Net migration and natural balance are significant positive as long-run determinants only, indicating their role as predictors of future demand.

About the presenter

Michael Kuhn is senior researcher at VID since 2008. In 2001, he received his doctorate in economics from the University of Rostock, Germany. He held previous positions at the Centre of Health Economics, University of York (1999-2004; lectureship) and at the Max-Planck-Institute for Demographic Research / University of Rostock, Germany (2005-2008; junior professorship). His research interests are health and population economics.


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