Conference on
Causal Analysis in Population Studies: Concepts, Methods, Applications
Venue: Sitzungssaal, Austrian Academy of Sciences
Dr. Ignaz Seipel-Platz 2, 1010 Vienna, Austria
Organizers:
Henriette Engelhardt, Department of Population Studies, University of Bamberg
Alexia Prskawetz, Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences
Hans-Peter Kohler, Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania
Agenda
Thursday, 30 November 2006 |
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1. Opening and keynotes |
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| 09:15-09:45 | Peter Schuster, President of the Austrian Academy of Sciences |
| 09:45-10:45 | Robert Moffitt: Issues in the estimation of causal effects in population research, with an application to the effects of teenage childbearing |
| 10:45-11:15 | Coffee break |
| 11:15-12:15 | Michael Lechner: Sequential potential outcome models to analyse the effect of fertility on subsequent labour-market outcomes |
| 12:15-14:00 | Lunch |
2. Methods |
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| 14:00-14:30 | Govert Bijwaard: Instrumental variable estimation for duration data: a re-appraisal of the Illinois re-employment bonus experiment |
| 14:30-15:00 | Michel Mouchart, Federica Russo and Guillaume Wunsch: Causality, structural modelling and exogeneity |
| 15:00-15:30 | Andrew Noymer: Causal relations and age, period, cohort analysis: testability and the case for parsimony |
| 15:30-15:45 | Coffee break |
3. Duration data |
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| 15:45-16:15 | Hans-Peter Blossfeld: Causation, statistical models and longitudinal data analysis in demography |
| 16:15-16:45 | Stefano Mazzuco: Causal inference for duration models. An alternative to hazard regression |
| 16:45-17:15 | Malcolm E. Fabiyi: A new interpretation of the demographic transition |
| 18:00-19:00 | Guided tour through Mozart’s House (Domgasse 5, 1010 Vienna) |
| 19:00 | Reception |
Friday, 1 December 2006 |
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4. Education and employment |
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| 09:00-09:30 | Margherita Fort: Education and the timing of births in Italy: are women just taking a rain check on motherhood? Evidence from a natural experiment |
| 09:30-10:00 | Gustavo De Santis and Antonino Di Pino: Female labour participation: the impact of demography |
| 10:00-10:30 | Jungho Kim and Arnstein Aassve: Fertility and its consequences on family labour supply |
| 10:30-11:00 | Coffee break |
| 11:00-11:30 | Rafael Lalive and Josef Zweimüller: Does parental leave affect fertility and return to work? Evidence from a ‘true natural experiment' |
5. Divorce |
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| 11:30-12:00 | Felix Elwert: Causal inference from time-varying treatments: a case study of marital transitions |
| 12:00-12:30 | Steffen Reinhold: Reassessing the relationship between premarital cohabitation and marital instability |
| 12:30-14:00 | Lunch |
6. Earnings and economic well-being |
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| 14:00-14:30 | Jonathan Klick and Frank Heiland: New evidence on the causal effect of family size on educational attainment and earnings of children |
| 14:30-15:00 | Francesca Francavilla and Alessandra Mattei: Assessing the causal effect of childbearing on economic well-being in Albania |
7. Social networks and ageing |
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| 15:00-15:30 | Stephane Helleringer and Hans-Peter Kohler: Proportion of HIV cases attributable to different modes of transmission in a sub-Saharan setting: a counterfactual network approach |
| 15:30-15:45 | Coffee break |
| 15:45-16:15 | Vegard Skirbekk, Henriette Engelhardt, Alexia Prskawetz, Isabella Buber and Denise Park: Cognitive functioning and activity status: postponing age-specific cognitive decline |
8. Conclusions and outlook |
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| 16:15-17:00 | Chair: Herbert Smith |
Saturday, 2 December 2006 |
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Workshop |
(Venue: VID, Prinz Eugen-Str. 8-10/2nd floor, 1040 Vienna) |
| 09:00-12:00 | Felix Elwert: Introduction to causal inference for time-varying treatments in population science brief outline of contents |
Foto Gallery
All participants are kindly invited to have a look at the pictures Pix-Gallery